Nigeria May Break Up In 2023 If … Prof. Jega

Prof. Attahiru Jega, the former chairman of the Independent National Electoral Commission, on Wednesday warned that Nigeria can break up if preventive measures are not taken.

The former INEC chairman stated this while speaking at a conference on ‘20 Years of Democracy’, organized by TELL magazine.

There had been predictions that Nigeria would disintegrate during the build-up to the 2015 general elections the crisis was averted when former President Goodluck Jonathan readily accepted his loss to President Muhammadu Buhari.

“The CIA thought that 2015 was the do-or-die period for Nigeria, that there would not be a Nigeria in the way you know after the 2015 General Elections. That has come and passed but I think if we do not take care, a lot of these predictions will come to pass. That is why we need to do quite a lot, much more than we have ever done in order to protect the integrity of the electoral process before 2023”, Jega said.

Jega further stated that the deployment of soldiers and other security operatives during elections was meant to address “systemic security challenges.”

“A lot has been said about the deployment of security during elections but we should recognise the fact that in Nigeria, we are faced with systemic security challenges. The presence of security is to ensure that the people have the peace of mind to come out to vote freely. The most important thing is to ensure that the security deployed is impartial and non-partisan. They should be professional in their conduct.”

Jega blamed the low turnout of voters during the general elections on the lack of trust of the electoral process, he noted that many registered voters failed to vote.

“Perhaps, the clearest evidence of this loss of trust and confidence in the electoral process is the declining voter turnout in elections since 1999. The reported data of voter turnout as a percentage of registered voters for elections are 52.3 per cent (1999), 69.1 percent (2003), 57.3 percent (2007), 55.4 percent in 2011, 44 per cent in 2015 and 37 per cent in 2019,” he added.

He noted that the trust will reduce during the 2023 elections if money bags continue the use of thugs and money to buy votes.

Nosa Igiebor, the editor-in-chief of Tell magazine, disagreed with the National Chairman of the All Progressives Congress, Adams Oshiomhole over his statement at the event concerning former President Olusegun Obasanjo.

Oshiomhole had, with reference to Obasanjo, said, “It is unfortunate that a man in his 80s will say Nigeria may break up. Why do you want Nigeria to break up? Don’t you want your children to enjoy it? These are people who dismantled the regions, created additional states and gave us the current structure.

Now, they are calling for restructuring. Who gave us the present structure? We must be careful of these tribalists, who cannot win elections in their own localities.”

Igiebor while reacting to Oshiomole’s statement said, “You can accuse Olusegun Obasanjo of anything but one thing you can’t say of him is that he is a tribalist. He is not an ethnic jingoist.”

Igiebor also warned that if the irregularities seen during the 2019 election persist, Nigeria might break up in 2023.

Ibrahim Magu, the acting Chairman of the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission, who was represented by his Special Assistant (Media and Publicity), Tony Amokeodo, called on the media to hold leaders accountable on behalf of the people.

He said, “Let me use this platform to challenge the press to rise up to the occasion as they play their role as the Fourth Estate of the Realm. You must hold leaders accountable at all times. You must, above all, be responsible in the discharge of the delicate task placed on your shoulder.”

In his contribution, the Chairman of Air Peace, Allen Onyema, singled out ethnicity as the most potent factor militating against the growth and development of the country.

“I don’t care if all the key actors in government come from one place. What I am after is good governance. Democracy will never get to the level we want it to be if we continue to mouth ethnic nationalism. If we get Nigeria right, she will be better than the whole of Europe put together”, he stated.